Toyota Owners 400 Odds, Picks & NASCAR at Richmond Predictions
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This is how things have turned upside down in the world of NASCAR betting: Ross Chastain and Tyler Reddick have the same odds on the betting apps this week at Richmond Raceway as Denny Hamlin, an annual championship contender who has won three times before at what is considered his home track.
Of course, anything seems possible this season, which has so far produced one winner after another, a streak that continued with Victory Lane’s debut of +2500 pick Ross Chastain last weekend at the Circuit of the Americas. Chastain became the fifth winner in six races with odds of +1200 or more, with Kyle Larson at Fontana the only favorite to win so far.
Toyota 400 owners ratings
|Driver||To earn||Top 3||Top 5|
|Martin Truex Jr.||+1000||+275||-110|
|Tyler Red Dick||+1200||+330||+150|
NASCAR odds current as of DraftKings publication date and subject to change.
Toyota 400 Owners Betting Tips
While Chase Elliott has been good at Richmond, with the top five points in two of his last three starts at the 0.75 mile oval, he is likely the NASCAR odds favorite because of the way he runs in overall – his worst finish in the last month was 11th.
No active driver has better career stats in Richmond than Kyle Buschwith six series-leading wins and just one top-nine result since 2014. But his performance in the new car so far has been uneven, with results of 33rd and 28th in the past two weeks.
The real driver to watch here is Martin Truex Jr., who has won three of Richmond’s last five races and placed in the top 10 in three of his last four starts overall. But other than that, it might behoove bettors to look more at recent performance rather than past history at specific tracks. Consider that outside of Busch, the drivers with the best career records at Richmond are Harvick (on a 48-race winless skid) and Hamlin (no top 10 so far).
This brings us back to Dark blond, who is absolutely thriving in this new car, and on a career that has seen him finish third, second, second and first over the past four weeks. That leads to Reddick, who has finished seventh or better in three of his last four.
This leads to Alex Bowmanwho has a first and a second so far this season, and Daniel Suarez, with top-10 finishes in three of its last five. Drivers like this may not win every week, but so far they are certainly making their presence felt.
Toyota 400 Owners Three Best Bets
Martin Truex Jr. will win
Odds: +1000 to Caesar
Truex has been so dominant at Richmond, with three race wins and nearly 700 laps led since 2018, that this type of value almost seems like an oversight. So grab it while you can, especially since driver Joe Gibbs Racing has been pretty solid with finishes of eighth, eighth and seventh over the past four weeks. He didn’t win, but he doesn’t look like a guy struggling to master this new car either.
Ross Chastain’s Top 3
Odds: +360 at FanDuel
Ride the wave, baby. The combination of this new car and a new team (Trackhouse, which bought out the assets of Chip Ganassi) unleashed the talent that has always been inside Chastain. The last four weeks have brought a road course, a 1-mile oval and two 1.5-mile intermediate tracks, and Chastain has been awesome on all of them. Why should a 0.75 mile short track (where he finished seventh last fall) be any different?
Daniel Suarez Top 5
Odds: +525 at BetMGM
We’re backing both boys from Trackhouse this week, given how well they’ve raced so far. Like his teammate Chastain, Suarez has been competitive on all types of tracks this year, although he really wasn’t able to win. Suarez’s recent performance completes a Richmond story that produced a trio of top 10 finishes.
Toyota Owners 400 Time, Date and TV
When: Sunday, April 3, 3:30 p.m. ET
Or: Richmond Raceway, Richmond, Virginia.
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